A study made for Golf Digest by Francis Scheid, Ph.D., retired Chairman of Mathematics at Boston University, using all the available statistics for holes-in-one, both amateur and professional, came up with the following estimates:
- Professional Tour player making an ace: 3,000 to 1
- Low-handicapper making an ace: 5,000 to 1
- Average player making an ace: 12,000 to 1
- Average player aceing a 200-yard hole: 150,000 to 1
- Two players in the same foursome aceing the same hole:
17 million to 1
- One player making two holes-in-one in the same round:
67 million to 1
Now Stanton-on-the-Wolds GC has a contribution of its own to add to this compilation:-
What are the odds of the same player holing-in-one on the same hole, with the same club, the same ball and the same hole position, in consecutive rounds?
Astronomical! Well astronomical or not, it's actually happened.
Long-time Stanton Member Peter Fox-Andrews aced the 15th at Stanton on Saturday 16th January with a gentle 8 iron, and then repeated the feat on Wednesday 20th just 4 days later.
After the usual banter on the tee beforehand - "Bet you can't do it again" etc etc Peter nonchalantly placed his ball on the Tee and proceeded to strike a beautifully controlled 8-iron straight at the pin - totally devoid of the usual curvature associated with his shots. Unfortunately the intervening gorse bushes obscured the final moments of the ball flight and even from a few yards away the final resting place was uncertain. It only became apparent that the near-impossible had happened when the playing group reached the green and saw the very top of the ball neatly jammed between the flag-stick and the hole edge. A careful jiggle of the flag and the ball descended to the base of the cup - hole-in-one achieved.
There aren't many occasions when P F-A is speechless, but this was one of them - a moment to savour by all present.
According to the Club Bar pundits who know about these things, the odds of 3 consecutive holes-in-one are about 163,558,000 to 1, so not unsurprisingly the Club Manager made a quick dash to the local bookies and placed a small wager in readiness for Peter's next appearance at the 15th hole on Saturday 23rd January. A degree in rocket science is not required to predict the actual outcome - the Tee shot missed the target by 30 yards, and the Club's dreams to rival Augusta with the proceeds have been shelved for the time being.